1
Board adopts 10% rent cap and eviction protections
Likely
Resolves by End of 2026
Discussed by: San Francisco Standard, housing advocates
The Board of Supervisors passes Sauter's 10% rent cap and Fielder's eviction protection as part of the emergency response. The declaration moves from symbolic to legislative, giving tenants concrete new defenses before the end of the year.
2
Emergency stays symbolic; tenant bills stall
Possible
Resolves by Q2 2027
Discussed by: San Francisco Standard, real estate analyst Ruth Krishnan
The declaration passes but the tenant protection bills languish in committee through 2027 amid landlord opposition and slow drafting. Rent growth continues, eviction notices keep rising, and the mayor's emergency becomes a political statement with no force of law.
3
Construction reforms unlock, rents moderate
Unlikely
Resolves by End of 2027
Discussed by: Housing advocates, YIMBY groups
The emergency accelerates construction streamlining — single-stairway buildings, impact fee waivers — that advocates say will lower building costs. New supply comes online through 2027, slowing rent growth even as AI demand persists.
4
Landlord lawsuit challenges the 10% cap
Possible
Resolves by End of 2027
Discussed by: San Francisco Business Times, property owner attorneys
Landlord representatives called the emergency 'scapegoating.' A legal challenge would argue the 10% cap on banked increases exceeds state law or takes property without compensation. The board's vote and any litigation would stretch into 2027.
5
Board freezes rents under Chapter 37
Unlikely
Resolves by End of 2026
Discussed by: San Francisco Standard
The Board of Supervisors could amend Chapter 37 to set the maximum annual increase for rent-controlled units at 0%. The San Francisco Standard reports little political will for a freeze, even among tenant advocates, but a worsening eviction crisis could shift the math.
6
Sacramento repeals Ellis Act and Costa-Hawkins
Unlikely
Resolves by Sep 15, 2027
Discussed by: Tenant advocates quoted by the San Francisco Standard
Advocates argue that repealing the Ellis Act and Costa-Hawkins Rental Housing Act would do more to prevent displacement than any city ordinance. Both laws have survived decades of challenges, making repeal an uphill fight.