Flavio Bolsonaro

Rule Changes

Lost the October 25 runoff to Lula

Brazil's betting sites have stayed offline since October 6. Supreme Court Justice Luiz Fux suspended every lower-court lawsuit against the ban on November 9, saying conflicting rulings were creating legal uncertainty.

Updated Yesterday

Money Moves

Lost the October 25 runoff to Lula after leading the October 19 Atlas/Bloomberg poll 49.8% to 47.6%

The Central Bank of Brazil held the Selic at 13.75% on November 4, ending a run of five straight cuts. It raised its inflation forecasts to 5.6% for 2026 and 4.7% for 2027, and said the outlook required caution.

Updated 4 days ago

Rule Changes

Has not conceded; left Brazil for the United States

Brazil's Supreme Court ordered federal police on Oct. 27 to investigate whether foreign money or services reached Flávio Bolsonaro's failed presidential campaign. Justice Flávio Dino's 38-page order names the Rockbridge Network, a donor group co-founded by Vice President JD Vance.

Updated Oct 31

Rule Changes

Lost the runoff and has not formally conceded. His Liberal Party recognized Lula's victory on October 26, and advisers reportedly urged him to drop his annulment bid. Federal police asked him to surrender his passports.

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva won Brazil's presidential runoff on October 25 with 51.79% of valid votes to Flávio Bolsonaro's 48.21%, the Superior Electoral Court said. He is the first candidate to erase a first-round deficit since Brazil began holding runoffs in 1989.

Updated Oct 30

Rule Changes

Lost the October 25 runoff to Lula, 48.2% to 51.8%; asking the electoral court to annul the result

Brazil's Supreme Court ordered the arrest of Eduardo Bolsonaro on October 8, after his four-year, two-month sentence for lobbying the Trump administration to sanction Brazilian officials became final. He is in Texas with a green card, and the warrant is still outstanding.

Updated Oct 27

Rule Changes

Lost the October 25 runoff to President Lula after taking 47% in the first round

Brazil's Amazon deforestation fell to 3,335 square kilometers in the year through July 2026, the lowest since satellite records began in 1988 and 63% below the 9,001 square kilometers cleared in 2023. President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva won the October 25 runoff against Senator Flávio Bolsonaro, keeping the enforcement program that produced those numbers in place.

Updated Oct 26

Rule Changes

Voted in favor of the amendment despite prior opposition from his party

Brazil's Senate voted 75-1 on October 14 to approve a constitutional amendment cutting the maximum legal workweek from 44 to 40 hours, ending the 6x1 schedule. The amendment goes to Congress for promulgation without presidential approval; days later, Finance Minister Dario Durigan said the government may create credit lines to help companies adapt.

Updated Oct 19

Force in Play

Running for president against Lula in October 2026

Brazil blocked two US envoys in July, then the US revoked the visa of Brazil's ambassador in August. By October, the US and Australia had suspended diplomatic operations in Brazil ahead of the election, citing security threats.

Updated Oct 16