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2026 Federal Spending Showdown

2026 Federal Spending Showdown

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Senate Vote Fails; White House and Democrats Negotiate Split Funding Deal

Today: Homan Press Conference: Pledges Federal Agent Drawdown, Announces Cooperation Deal

Overview

For the first time in American history, a government funding fight has erupted over federal agents killing citizens on domestic soil. The Senate voted 45-55 on January 29 to block a $1.2 trillion spending package after Democrats refused to fund the Department of Homeland Security's $64 billion budget following two fatal shootings by Immigration and Customs Enforcement and Border Patrol agents in Minneapolis within three weeks. With the January 30 midnight deadline hours away, Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer and White House officials are negotiating a deal to split DHS funding into a short-term continuing resolution while passing the other five bills, potentially averting a partial shutdown.

The standoff marks a collision between the Trump administration's largest-ever immigration enforcement operation and Democratic demands for ICE reforms. Schumer laid out three specific demands: ending roving patrols and tightening warrant rules, enforcing a uniform code of conduct, and requiring agents to wear body cameras and identification. Border czar Tom Homan announced January 29 that federal agents would draw down in Minneapolis if state officials provide jail access for undocumented immigrants, stating 'more agents in the jail means less agents in the street.' Seven Republicans joined all 47 Democrats in blocking the package, with Senate Majority Leader John Thune acknowledging 'there's a path to consider some of those things' regarding DHS reforms. The negotiations represent a dramatic shift from last year's shutdown, with Trump communicating directly with Schumer to find a compromise.

Voices from History

Fictional content for perspective - not real quotes.
Eleanor Roosevelt

Eleanor Roosevelt

(1884-1962) · Progressive Era · politics

Fictional AI pastiche — not real quote.

"One wonders whether a government that cannot account for the lives it has taken possesses the moral authority to demand the funds with which to continue. The Constitution wisely granted Congress the power of the purse precisely for such moments when accountability must precede appropriation."

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Key Indicators

2
U.S. Citizens Killed by Federal Agents
Renee Good (January 7) and Alex Pretti (January 24), both 37-year-old Minneapolis residents shot by ICE and Border Patrol agents.
$64B
DHS Budget at Stake
The blocked funding includes $10 billion for ICE and $3.8 billion for custody and deportation operations.
60
Votes Needed to Pass
Senate Republicans hold 53 seats and need at least 7 Democrats to break the filibuster threshold.
~3,000
Federal Agents Deployed to Minneapolis
DHS called Operation Metro Surge 'the largest immigration enforcement operation ever carried out.'

People Involved

Chuck Schumer
Chuck Schumer
Senate Minority Leader (D-NY) (Leading Democratic opposition to DHS funding)
John Thune
John Thune
Senate Majority Leader (R-SD) (Refusing to separate DHS funding from broader package)
Kristi Noem
Kristi Noem
Secretary of Homeland Security (Facing calls to resign; scheduled to testify before Senate in March)
Tom Homan
Tom Homan
White House Border Czar (Leading Minneapolis operations; held first press conference announcing drawdown plans contingent on cooperation)
Tim Walz
Tim Walz
Governor of Minnesota (D) (Activated National Guard; served grand jury subpoena by DOJ)
Jacob Frey
Jacob Frey
Mayor of Minneapolis (Met with Tom Homan; announced some federal agents will depart)
Renee Nicole Macklin Good
Renee Nicole Macklin Good
Shooting Victim (Deceased (January 7, 2026))
Alex Pretti
Alex Pretti
Shooting Victim (Deceased (January 24, 2026))
Patty Murray
Patty Murray
Senate Appropriations Committee Ranking Member (D-WA) (Withdrew support for DHS funding after Pretti shooting)
John Fetterman
John Fetterman
U.S. Senator (D-PA) (Only Democrat planning to vote for spending package)
Gregory Bovino
Gregory Bovino
Former Border Patrol Commander-at-Large (Departed Minneapolis January 28; returned to El Centro, California)

Organizations Involved

U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement
U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement
Federal Law Enforcement Agency
Status: Subject of funding dispute; operations to continue regardless of shutdown

ICE is the principal federal agency responsible for interior immigration enforcement, including detention and deportation operations.

U.S. Customs and Border Protection
U.S. Customs and Border Protection
Federal Law Enforcement Agency
Status: Border Patrol agents involved in Pretti shooting

CBP is the largest federal law enforcement agency, responsible for border security, customs, and immigration inspection at ports of entry.

U.S. Department of Homeland Security (DHS)
U.S. Department of Homeland Security (DHS)
Cabinet Department
Status: Central to funding dispute; $64 billion budget blocked

DHS is the cabinet department responsible for counterterrorism, border security, immigration enforcement, and disaster response.

Timeline

  1. Homan Press Conference: Pledges Federal Agent Drawdown, Announces Cooperation Deal

    Negotiation

    Border czar Tom Homan holds his first press conference as operational commander in Minneapolis, announcing plans for a federal agent drawdown contingent on state cooperation and vowing to remain 'until the problem is gone.' Homan reveals Minnesota Attorney General Keith Ellison agreed to notify ICE when local jails release 'violent illegal aliens.' Homan refuses to disclose current agent numbers but states unprofessional officers will be 'dealt with.'

  2. Senate Schedules Cloture Vote on $1.2 Trillion Package

    Legislative

    Senate Majority Leader John Thune schedules a cloture vote for January 29 on the six-bill spending package including DHS funding. The vote requires 60 senators to advance but Democrats controlling 47 votes have pledged to block it. Late reports suggest White House may be open to separating DHS funding and passing it under a short-term continuing resolution to avert shutdown.

  3. Senate Cloture Vote Fails 45-55

    Legislative

    Senate votes 45-55 to block the six-bill spending package, with seven Republicans joining all 47 Democrats in opposition. The vote fell short of the 60 votes needed to advance the legislation.

  4. Trump and Schumer Negotiate Split Funding Deal

    Negotiation

    President Trump communicates directly with Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer about splitting DHS funding from the rest of the package. White House officials and Schumer work on a deal to remove DHS funding and replace it with a short-term continuing resolution. Negotiations focus on length: Republicans want up to six weeks, Democrats want one to two weeks.

  5. Schumer Outlines Three ICE Reform Demands

    Legislative

    Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer publicly details three specific demands for DHS funding: end roving patrols and tighten warrant rules for arrests; enforce a uniform code of conduct; and require agents to remove masks, carry identification, and wear body cameras.

  6. Homan Announces Jail-Focused Drawdown Strategy

    Negotiation

    Border czar Tom Homan announces in press conference that federal agents will shift from street operations to jail-based enforcement if Minnesota provides access to undocumented immigrants in state prisons and county jails. 'More agents in the jail means less agents in the street,' Homan states, explicitly saying he plans to 'draw down the number of people here.'

  7. Thune Signals Possible Future DHS Reforms

    Legislative

    Senate Majority Leader John Thune states that while changes to the DHS bill won't happen as part of the current spending package, 'there's a path to consider some of those things' regarding Democratic reform demands down the road.

  8. Bovino Departs Minneapolis; Federal Agents Begin Withdrawal

    Response

    Commander Gregory Bovino leaves Minneapolis and returns to his previous position as chief of the El Centro, California sector. U.S. Customs and Border Protection begins reducing the number of agents in Minneapolis as Tom Homan assumes operational control.

  9. Homan Meets with Minneapolis Mayor

    Negotiation

    Border czar Tom Homan meets with Mayor Jacob Frey to discuss de-escalation and next steps for federal immigration operations.

  10. Homan Meets with Walz and Frey

    Negotiation

    Border czar Tom Homan meets separately with Governor Tim Walz and Mayor Jacob Frey. All parties describe the meetings as a 'productive starting point' and agree to ongoing dialogue. Walz reports 'a tone shift' and lists three priorities: impartial investigations into the shootings, swift reduction in federal forces, and an end to retribution against Minnesota officials.

  11. Senate Democrats Announce DHS Funding Block

    Legislative

    Minority Leader Schumer announces Democrats will not provide votes to advance the spending package if it includes DHS funding. Senator Patty Murray, a key appropriations negotiator, reverses her support.

  12. Bovino Relieved of Command; Homan Deployed

    Response

    Trump deploys border czar Tom Homan to Minneapolis. Commander Gregory Bovino is relieved and returns to California. Some federal agents begin departing.

  13. Thune Refuses to Separate DHS Funding

    Legislative

    Senate Majority Leader Thune advances the full spending package despite Democratic opposition, refusing to split out DHS funding.

  14. Alex Pretti Fatally Shot by Border Patrol

    Incident

    Border Patrol agents pepper-spray, wrestle to the ground, and shoot 37-year-old VA nurse Alex Pretti at least ten times. Video shows he was filming with his phone and never drew his legally owned firearm.

  15. Statewide 'ICE Out' Protest

    Protest

    Hundreds of Minnesota businesses close for a statewide 'ICE Out' protest and strike. Around 100 clergy are arrested at Minneapolis-St. Paul International Airport.

  16. House Passes Spending Package

    Legislative

    The House passes a $1.2 trillion spending package including DHS funding, sending it to the Senate ahead of the January 30 deadline.

  17. Federal Judge Issues Preliminary Injunction

    Legal

    U.S. District Judge Katherine Menendez orders federal agents not to retaliate against peaceful protesters and prohibits use of pepper spray as retaliation for protected speech.

  18. Minnesota Sues to Halt ICE Surge

    Legal

    Minnesota Attorney General Keith Ellison, Minneapolis, and St. Paul file suit against the Trump administration seeking to halt Operation Metro Surge.

  19. Renee Good Fatally Shot by ICE Agent

    Incident

    ICE agent Jonathan Ross shoots 37-year-old Renée Good three times in her vehicle in south Minneapolis. DHS claims self-defense; video contradicts their account. Good is an American citizen and mother of three.

  20. Walz Activates National Guard Warning Order

    Response

    Governor Tim Walz orders the Minnesota National Guard to a state of preparedness following Good's killing.

  21. First Class-Action Lawsuit Filed

    Legal

    Individual plaintiffs and the ACLU of Minnesota file a class-action lawsuit alleging constitutional violations by federal agents in Operation Metro Surge.

  22. DHS Claims 400 Arrests

    Enforcement

    DHS reports Operation Metro Surge has arrested 400 undocumented immigrants, claiming the arrests include violent offenders.

  23. Operation Metro Surge Begins

    Enforcement

    ICE launches what DHS calls 'the largest immigration enforcement operation ever carried out,' deploying up to 2,000 federal agents to the Minneapolis-St. Paul area.

Scenarios

1

Partial Shutdown Begins Friday, DHS Funding Stalls for Weeks

Discussed by: NPR, CNN, CNBC political analysts

Neither side blinks before January 30. The government partially shuts down affecting the Pentagon, DHS, and other agencies—though ICE continues operating on its $75 billion supplemental funding. Republicans blame Democrats for endangering national security; Democrats blame Republicans for refusing to hold ICE accountable. The standoff extends for weeks as both sides dig in, similar to the 43-day shutdown of 2025.

2

Last-Minute Deal: DHS Bill Separated, Shutdown Averted

Discussed by: The Hill, Roll Call congressional reporters

As the deadline approaches, Republicans agree to separate DHS funding and pass the other five bills to avoid shutting down 75% of discretionary spending. DHS operates on a short-term continuing resolution while negotiations continue. This requires Thune to reverse his stated position but avoids political blame for a shutdown.

3

Democratic Defections Provide 60 Votes

Discussed by: Fox News, Deseret News political analysts

More moderate Democrats join Fetterman in voting for the package, either breaking with Schumer or negotiating minor concessions. Seven or more Democrats prioritize avoiding a shutdown over extracting ICE accountability measures, allowing the full package to pass before January 30.

4

Minneapolis De-escalation Unlocks Funding Deal

Discussed by: Washington Post, ABC News analysts

The Trump administration's decision to remove Bovino and deploy Homan signals a willingness to change course. If federal agents significantly draw down in Minneapolis and the administration agrees to accountability measures—such as requiring body cameras or independent investigations—enough Democrats may vote for the package. Homan's meetings with local officials produce a framework both sides can accept.

Historical Context

Ruby Ridge (1992)

August 1992

What Happened

U.S. Marshals and FBI agents besieged Randy Weaver's cabin in rural Idaho over a failure-to-appear warrant. An 11-day standoff resulted in the deaths of Weaver's 14-year-old son, his wife Vicki, and Deputy U.S. Marshal William Degan. FBI sniper Lon Horiuchi shot Vicki Weaver while she held her infant daughter.

Outcome

Short Term

Congressional hearings found the FBI's rules of engagement unconstitutional. The Justice Department paid Weaver's family $3.1 million.

Long Term

The DOJ created its first unified deadly force policy for all federal law enforcement. Ruby Ridge became a rallying point for anti-government movements and directly motivated Timothy McVeigh.

Why It's Relevant Today

Like Minneapolis, Ruby Ridge involved federal agents killing American citizens in circumstances that contradicted official accounts. The resulting policy reforms established the framework that critics say ICE is now violating.

2013 Government Shutdown (Obamacare)

October 2013

What Happened

Senator Ted Cruz led House Republicans to demand defunding the Affordable Care Act as a condition of passing spending bills. The resulting 16-day shutdown furloughed 800,000 federal workers. Cruz staged a 21-hour speech on the Senate floor.

Outcome

Short Term

Republicans received most of the blame in polls (39% vs. 19%). They eventually passed a spending bill without major changes to the health care law.

Long Term

The strategy backfired politically but raised Cruz's national profile. It established that using shutdowns as leverage over policy disputes carries significant political risk for the initiating party.

Why It's Relevant Today

Democrats are now employing a similar leverage strategy—refusing to fund a specific agency to force policy changes. The 2013 precedent suggests the party seen as causing the shutdown often pays a political price.

Kent State Shooting (1970)

May 1970

What Happened

Ohio National Guard soldiers fired 67 rounds into a crowd of students protesting the Vietnam War at Kent State University, killing four and wounding nine. The students were unarmed. The Guard claimed they fired in self-defense after feeling threatened.

Outcome

Short Term

The shootings sparked a nationwide student strike involving 4 million students and closed hundreds of campuses. Nixon's approval rating dropped 6 points.

Long Term

The incident galvanized anti-war sentiment and contributed to eventual U.S. withdrawal from Vietnam. No guardsmen were convicted, but the families received a $675,000 settlement.

Why It's Relevant Today

Kent State established that government forces killing American citizens during protests—even when claiming self-defense—can rapidly shift public opinion and political momentum against the administration responsible.

41 Sources: