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James Talarico wins Texas Senate seat, first Democrat since 1988

James Talarico wins Texas Senate seat, first Democrat since 1988

Rule Changes

The 37-year-old state legislator beat Ken Paxton by 12.1 points, ending a 38-year Democratic drought and drawing a 'Watergate-level repudiation' from Ted Cruz.

Overview

Updated 5 days ago

James Talarico, a 37-year-old state legislator and former middle school teacher, beat Republican Ken Paxton in Texas's Senate race on November 3, 2026. Final returns showed Talarico with 55.1% to Paxton's 43%, a 12.1-point margin and the first Democratic Senate win in Texas since 1988.

Talarico's early-vote total alone, about 4.4 million, was more than Paxton's entire count, The New Republic reported. He won Collin and Denton counties north of Dallas and flipped Kaufman County, which Trump carried in 2024; he also said he would work with Trump on tariffs and the gas tax. Republican Sen. Ted Cruz called the midterms a 'Watergate-level repudiation' and said tariffs and the Iran war had hurt the party.

Why it matters

A Democrat holds a Texas Senate seat for the first time since 1988, giving the party a possible 2028 battleground.

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Key Indicators

38
Years since last Democratic Senate win
Lloyd Bentsen was the last Democrat to win a Texas Senate election, in 1988.
$150M
Musk spending in race
CBS News reported Elon Musk gave $150 million to boost Paxton.
55.1%
Talarico's vote share
Final returns showed Talarico with 55.1% to Paxton's 43%.
12.1
Talarico's winning margin
Final returns showed a 12.1-point margin, ABC News reported.
Majority
Senate control
Democrats won control of the Senate in the 2026 midterms, ABC News reported.
13.7
Trump's 2024 margin in Texas
Trump won Texas by 13.7 percentage points in the 2024 presidential election, Newsweek reported.

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People Involved

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Timeline

November 1988 November 2026

12 events Latest: 5 days ago Showing 8 of 12
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  1. Final Texas Senate count shows 12.1-point Talarico win

    Latest Election

    Final returns showed Talarico with 5,445,156 votes (55.1%) to Paxton's 4,249,763 (43%), ABC News reported.

  2. BBC reports Democratic sweep in Texas

    Media

    BBC reports the historic Democratic wins across Texas.

  3. Cruz calls midterms a 'Watergate-level repudiation'

    Statement

    Texas Sen. Ted Cruz congratulated Talarico and wrote that tariffs and the Iran war hurt Republicans. He said the party must rebuild as a 'true blue-collar party.'

  4. Talarico says Texas is on the 2028 presidential map

    Statement

    In post-election interviews, Talarico urged every 2028 Democratic candidate to compete in Texas. He also said he would work with Trump on tariffs, the gas tax and immigration.

  5. Talarico calls for campaign finance overhaul

    Statement

    Talarico said he wants to get big money out of politics and limit the influence of ultra-wealthy donors like Elon Musk, who spent $150 million boosting Paxton.

  6. Talarico beats Paxton; Hinojosa unseats Abbott

    Election

    Talarico wins the Senate seat; Hinojosa becomes first Latina governor.

  7. Democrats win every statewide race in Texas

    Election

    Democrats won every statewide race in Texas, Axios reported, including Talarico's Senate seat and Gina Hinojosa's governor's race.

  8. Talarico wins Democratic primary

    Election

    Talarico defeats Dallas Congresswoman Jasmine Crockett in the primary.

  9. O'Rourke loses narrowly to Cruz

    Election

    Beto O'Rourke loses to Ted Cruz by about 2.6 points.

  10. Krueger appointed to Senate

    Appointment

    Bob Krueger is appointed, the last Democrat to serve as a Texas senator.

  11. Bentsen wins last Democratic Senate race

    Election

    Lloyd Bentsen wins reelection, the last Democrat to win a Texas Senate seat.

Scenarios

1

Talarico is sworn in as Texas's first Democratic senator since 1993

Likely Resolves by Jan 20, 2027

Discussed by: AP and BBC, which projected his win

The Senate convenes in January 2027. Texas officials certify the result, and Talarico takes the oath alongside the new Democratic majority. No legal challenge to the result has been reported.

2

Texas votes Democratic for president in 2028

Possible Resolves by Nov 7, 2028

Discussed by: The Free Press and other analysts who called the win a pickup that puts 40 electoral votes in play

Talarico's coalition of young, Hispanic, and moderate voters holds together. Texas, which Trump won by nearly 14 points in 2024, becomes a battleground in the next presidential race.

3

Republicans retake the Texas Senate seat in 2028

Possible Resolves by Nov 7, 2028

Discussed by: AP News coverage of the race

Texas Republicans regroup after the 2026 losses. A stronger statewide candidate and a less favorable national environment put the seat back in play.

Historical Context

3 moments from history that rhyme with this story — and how they unfolded.

November 1988

Lloyd Bentsen's last Democratic Senate win (1988)

Lloyd Bentsen won his fourth term in the U.S. Senate, defeating Republican Beau Boulter. It was the last time a Democrat won a Texas Senate election.

Then

Bentsen resigned in January 1993 to become Treasury Secretary under President Bill Clinton.

Now

No Democrat won a Texas Senate seat for the next 38 years, until Talarico in 2026.

Why this matters now

Talarico's win ends the drought that began after Bentsen's 1988 victory.

January-June 1993

Bob Krueger's brief appointment (1993)

Governor Ann Richards appointed Democrat Bob Krueger to fill Bentsen's seat. Krueger served from January 21 to June 14, 1993.

Then

Republican Kay Bailey Hutchison defeated Krueger in a June 1993 special election.

Now

Krueger was the last Democrat to serve as a Texas senator until Talarico.

Why this matters now

Shows how long the Republican hold on the seat lasted.

November 2018

Beto O'Rourke's near-miss (2018)

Beto O'Rourke challenged Republican Senator Ted Cruz and lost by fewer than 215,000 votes, a margin of about 2.6 points.

Then

The narrow loss raised Democratic hopes for Texas.

Now

Democrats failed to build on the momentum in subsequent elections.

Why this matters now

O'Rourke's loss was the closest Democrats came before Talarico's win.

Sources

(23)