Pedro Domingos

Professor emeritus of computer science, University of Washington

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Anthropic forecasts autonomous AI research by 2028

As of May 2026: Skeptic of recursive self-improvement timelines

Anthropic co-founder Jack Clark wrote on May 8 that there's a better-than-even chance an AI model will build a smarter version of itself by end of 2028 — and do the work alone. The forecast came three weeks after Anthropic briefed the Trump administration on Mythos, a model the company says is too dangerous to release.

Updated May 31