Mike Lawler

Election night

Mike Lawler is running for the U.S. House in NY-17.

Against Cait Conley (D) · Cook rating: Toss Up · Not called yet

See the race

Stories

Trump-aligned super PACs launch late ad blitz in Republican midterm races

Money Moves

As of September 2026: One of the most vulnerable House Republicans

Republican outside groups sat on their money for months. On September 18, NPR reported that two Trump-aligned super PACs have now reserved more than $150 million in ads, mostly in deep-red House and Senate races that unexpectedly became competitive.

Updated Sep 18

The ACA subsidies cliff

Rule Changes

As of May 2026: Signed discharge petition, faces tough 2026 race

The House passed a three-year extension of ACA subsidies January 8, 2026, by 230-196, with 17 Republicans joining Democrats after a discharge petition bypassed Johnson's opposition. The subsidies had expired December 31, 2025, more than doubling premiums for 22 million Americans—92% of marketplace enrollees. A 60-year-old couple earning $85,000 now faces $22,600 more annually in premiums.

Updated May 19