Jack Clark

Money Moves

Told the IMF on October 17, 2026 that AI could lift US GDP to $44 trillion by 2030

US economic growth accelerated to a 3.4% annual rate in the third quarter, the Commerce Department said October 29, up from 2.2% in the second. Consumer spending rose 3.8% and business spending on equipment jumped 20.9%, led by computers and other gear for AI data centers.

Updated Oct 30

New Capabilities

As of May 2026: Publishing weekly forecasts; briefing U.S. government on frontier capabilities

Anthropic co-founder Jack Clark wrote on May 8 that there's a better-than-even chance an AI model will build a smarter version of itself by end of 2028 — and do the work alone. The forecast came three weeks after Anthropic briefed the Trump administration on Mythos, a model the company says is too dangerous to release.

Updated May 31