Federal Agency
Appears in 2 stories
Publisher of the Q1 2026 advance GDP estimate and Personal Income and Outlays report
The Bureau of Economic Analysis released its first estimate of US economic growth for the first three months of 2026 at 8:30 a.m. Eastern, alongside the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge. The release arrived with forecasters more divided than at any point in the current cycle: the Atlanta Fed's real-time tracker pointed to 1.2% annualized growth, while traders on the prediction market Polymarket clustered between 2.0% and 3.0%.
Updated Apr 30
Released delayed Q4 GDP report; subsequent releases also rescheduled
The United States economy grew at an annualized rate of just 1.4% in the final quarter of 2025—a steep drop from 4.4% the quarter before and well below the 2.5% that forecasters expected. The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) estimates that the 43-day government shutdown, the longest in American history, subtracted roughly one full percentage point from growth by itself. Federal spending fell at a 16.6% annualized rate during the quarter, dragging headline output down by more than a percentage point even as consumer spending and business investment continued to expand.
Updated Feb 20
No stories match your search
Try a different keyword
How would you like to describe your experience with the app today?
